Truro City 1-2 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
9%
9.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 27% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 55%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.54/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.58
+25% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers squeezed past Truro City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Dorking Wanderers?

Truro City 1-2 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Truro City 34%, draw 24%, Dorking Wanderers 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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