Kings Lynn Town 3-1 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-10.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.62/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.01
-3% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kings Lynn Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Warrington Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
23.09.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kings Lynn Town
3-1
AWAY Warrington Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kings Lynn Town vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kings Lynn Town got the better of Warrington Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Kings Lynn Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kings Lynn Town had 56% of the ball to Warrington Town's 44%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Warrington Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kings Lynn Town and 0.50 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Kings Lynn Town vs Warrington Town?

Kings Lynn Town 3-1 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kings Lynn Town vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kings Lynn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kings Lynn Town 39%, draw 28%, Warrington Town 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kings Lynn Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kings Lynn Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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