Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

Tonbridge Angels
3-2 HT 2-1
Weymouth
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tonbridge Angels v Weymouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.96/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.27
+29% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-1 HT 1-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
14.10.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
10.12.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-5 HT 0-4 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
06.08.2022 Weymouth Weymouth 1-3 HT 0-2 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
31.08.2019 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels nicked a narrow win over Weymouth 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tonbridge Angels as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 1.80 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth?

Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 46%, draw 25%, Weymouth 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✗ Under 2.5
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