Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

Tonbridge Angels
2-1 HT 1-1
Weymouth
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tonbridge Angels v Weymouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.30/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.65
-24% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
10.12.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-5 HT 0-4 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
06.08.2022 Weymouth Weymouth 1-3 HT 0-2 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
31.08.2019 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels squeezed past Weymouth 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tonbridge Angels as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 2.00 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth?

Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 43%, draw 30%, Weymouth 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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