Tamworth 2-0 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.99/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.57
+9% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Buxton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İCON
28.07.2018 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
2-0
AWAY Buxton
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth got the better of Buxton 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tamworth had 41% of the ball to Buxton's 59%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Buxton led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tamworth and 1.50 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Buxton?

Tamworth 2-0 Buxton in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 51%, draw 26%, Buxton 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
6 Jan 2024
16:00 Bishops Stortford vs Blyth Spartans Analysis →
18:00 South Shields vs Warrington Town Analysis →
18:00 Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford FC Analysis →
18:00 Welling United vs Aveley Analysis →
18:00 Yeovil vs Bath City Analysis →
18:00 Alfreton Town vs Chorley Analysis →