Scarborough Athletic 3-0 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.92/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.63
+23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hereford FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.11.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
07.01.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
13.08.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
3-0
AWAY Hereford FC
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic swept aside Hereford FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Scarborough Athletic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 57% of the ball to Hereford FC's 43%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hereford FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.67 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford FC?

Scarborough Athletic 3-0 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 48%, draw 24%, Hereford FC 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scarborough Athletic), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✓ BTTS No
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