Curzon Ashton 3-0 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
15.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+36% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
3-0
AWAY Needham Market
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton cruised past Needham Market 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 52% of the ball to Needham Market's 48%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Needham Market?

Curzon Ashton 3-0 Needham Market in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 41%, draw 28%, Needham Market 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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