Roma (K) 4-3 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
70%
-2.4pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.3pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +26%
1.90/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.33
+25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
23.5 Crosses 11.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Como (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.00 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
313 Passes 206
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 0
23.11.2025 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
06.12.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
22.09.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
4-3
AWAY Como (K)
1.90 xG 0.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
468 Passes 365
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) edged past Como (K) 4-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Roma (K) had 55% of the ball to Como (K)'s 45%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.90 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roma (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roma (K) and 0.67 for Como (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Como (K)?

Roma (K) 4-3 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 68%, draw 19%, Como (K) 13%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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