Chapecoense 0-4 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 3 Apr 2026

Chapecoense
0 - 4 HT 0 - 3
Atletico Mineiro
📅03/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.12
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.8
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.8
2-3
48%
1.73
4-5
19%
3.86
6+
4%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.98
1/2
2%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
11%
6.69
X/2
15%
4.92
X/X
21%
4.18
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
24%
3.1
2/X
5%
12.75
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Chapecoense v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Chapecoense The Market 33%
Signal
AWAY Atletico Mineiro The Market 46%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.19 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
1.26 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.89
Strong Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2

Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.52 xG 1.86
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
180 Passes 443
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
22.06.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
31.10.2019 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
15.07.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
06.10.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
02.06.2018 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-3 HT 2-2 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1

Chapecoense 0-4 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
0 - 4
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
2.09 xG 2.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
315 Passes 425
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 30
26 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Mineiro overpowered Chapecoense 4-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Chapecoense had 45% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 55%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 2.09 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chapecoense and 1.33 for Atletico Mineiro.

Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro Result & Final Score

Chapecoense 0 - 4 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 27%, draw 31%, Atletico Mineiro 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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