Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Palmeiras v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras 2-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Gremio 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 54% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
On the day, possession split 60% to 40% in Palmeiras's favour, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.64 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Palmeiras against 1.17 for Gremio.
Palmeiras vs Gremio Result & Final Score
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 65%, draw 20%, Gremio 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.