Gremio vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Palmeiras
BR1
4-1
HT 1-1
Gremio
BR1
1-3
HT 1-2
Palmeiras
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Gremio
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BRK
Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio and Palmeiras shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gremio had 40% of the ball to Palmeiras's 60%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 2.20 to 2.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gremio and 2.00 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Palmeiras?
Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gremio 35%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.