Fluminense 1-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Jul 2024

📅05/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.3
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.0
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.35
X/1
12%
5.18
X/2
14%
5.27
X/X
13%
3.68
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.11
2/X
5%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +22%
1.37/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.04
-4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.2 Crosses 17.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Internacional
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.59 xG 1.09
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
480 Passes 288
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
05.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense LKU
28.09.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional LKU
09.07.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 2-0 HT 2-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
15.08.2022 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
24.04.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
1-1
AWAY Internacional
0.34 xG 0.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
444 Passes 341
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense and Internacional couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Fluminense had 55% of the ball to Internacional's 45%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.34 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fluminense and 1.17 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Internacional?

Fluminense 1-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 34%, draw 27%, Internacional 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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