Bahia 2-0 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Jul 2024

Bahia
2-0 HT 0-0
Juventude
📅05/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Bahia vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 23% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahia v Juventude — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.63
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
21.5 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1

Bahia vs Juventude Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juventude
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.90
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
324 Passes 389
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.10.2021 Juventude Juventude 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
08.07.2021 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
28.10.2009 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR2
29.07.2009 Bahia Bahia 2-2 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
24.09.2008 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
25.06.2008 Juventude Juventude 4-1 HT 1-1 Bahia Bahia BR2

Bahia 2-0 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
2-0
AWAY Juventude
1.86 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
484 Passes 340
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia got the better of Juventude 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bahia had 57% of the ball to Juventude's 43%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.86 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahia and 1.00 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Juventude?

Bahia 2-0 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bahia 53%, draw 26%, Juventude 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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