Corinthians vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Corinthians
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BR1
3-1
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BRK
0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 3-2 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians squeezed past Vitoria 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Corinthians had 44% of the ball to Vitoria's 56%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 0.67 to 1.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vitoria.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 0.67 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Vitoria?
Corinthians 3-2 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 42%, draw 30%, Vitoria 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.