Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Palmeiras
BR1
4-1
HT 1-1
Gremio
BR1
1-3
HT 1-2
Palmeiras
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Gremio
BR1
Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras nicked a narrow win over Gremio 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Palmeiras had 61% of the ball to Gremio's 39%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.55 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Palmeiras and 0.83 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Gremio?
Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 52%, draw 24%, Gremio 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.