Botafogo 1-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Jul 2025

Botafogo
1-1 HT 1-0
Corinthians
📅27/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Botafogo vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.35
X/1
21%
3.81
X/2
6%
11.55
X/X
13%
4.25
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
8%
11.0
2/X
6%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.72/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.55
+3% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
25.6 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Botafogo vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Corinthians
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
396 Passes 405
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
02.06.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
23.09.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
12.05.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 3-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
31.07.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
10.04.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 1-3 HT 0-3 Corinthians Corinthians BR1

Botafogo 1-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
1-1
AWAY Corinthians
0.64 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
507 Passes 388
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo and Corinthians couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Botafogo had 56% of the ball to Corinthians's 44%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.64 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Botafogo and 1.00 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Corinthians?

Botafogo 1-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 54%, draw 26%, Corinthians 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
27 Jul 2025
00:30 Sport Recife vs Santos Analysis →
00:30 Mirassol FC vs Vitoria Analysis →
00:30 Fortaleza vs Bragantino Analysis →
03:00 Palmeiras vs Gremio Analysis →
22:00 Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Analysis →
22:00 Cruzeiro vs Ceara Analysis →