Mirassol FC 1-1 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 21%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.06/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.93
-36% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
12.0 Crosses 18.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vitoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.98 xG 0.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
20.05.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
08.08.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Vitoria Vitoria BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1-1
AWAY Vitoria
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
317 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Vitoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 51% of the ball to Vitoria's 49%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mirassol FC and 0.67 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Vitoria?

Mirassol FC 1-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 48%, draw 29%, Vitoria 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mirassol FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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