Cruzeiro vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Cruzeiro
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR1
Cruzeiro 1-2 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara squeezed past Cruzeiro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 64% of the ball to Ceara's 36%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.35 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cruzeiro.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.67 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Ceara?
Cruzeiro 1-2 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 53%, draw 24%, Ceara 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.