Sport Recife vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
4-2
HT 2-2
Sport Recife
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
Sport Recife 2-2 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife and Santos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sport Recife had 41% of the ball to Santos's 59%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.08 to 1.06.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sport Recife and 1.17 for Santos.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Santos?
Sport Recife 2-2 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 39%, draw 27%, Santos 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.