Sport Recife vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
4-2
HT 2-2
Sport Recife
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
Sport Recife 2-1 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife squeezed past Santos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sport Recife as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sport Recife had 45% of the ball to Santos's 55%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.72 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sport Recife's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sport Recife and 1.17 for Santos.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Santos?
Sport Recife 2-1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 52%, draw 26%, Santos 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Recife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.