America Mineiro 3-0 Brusque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 34% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Brusque EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.56/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.43
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
21.7 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Brusque
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.37 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
309 Passes 281
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 Brusque Brusque 0-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
3-0
AWAY Brusque
3.70 xG 0.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 1
476 Passes 334
91% Pass Accuracy 90%
25 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Brusque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro cruised past Brusque 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, America Mineiro had 56% of the ball to Brusque's 44%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 3.70 to 0.44.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Brusque?

America Mineiro 3-0 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Brusque?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 54%, draw 26%, Brusque 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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