Guarani FC 0-0 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
45%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
45%
Away Win
62%
-16.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 66%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.79/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+15% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guarani FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ceara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 0.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
270 Passes 350
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.08.2024 Ceara Ceara 3-1 HT 1-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
03.08.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
23.04.2023 Ceara Ceara 0-3 HT 0-2 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
08.11.2017 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 1-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
19.07.2017 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
08.09.2012 Ceara Ceara 1-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guarani FC
0-0
AWAY Ceara
0.17 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
260 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
3 Box Touches 27
4 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guarani FC vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guarani FC and Ceara played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guarani FC had 47% of the ball to Ceara's 53%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.17 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guarani FC and 1.33 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Guarani FC vs Ceara?

Guarani FC 0-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guarani FC vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guarani FC 25%, draw 30%, Ceara 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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