Santos vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
4-2
HT 2-2
Sport Recife
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
BR1
Santos 1-1 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Santos and Sport Recife couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Santos at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Santos had 46% of the ball to Sport Recife's 54%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.03 to 1.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos and 0.67 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Santos vs Sport Recife?
Santos 1-1 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Santos 50%, draw 24%, Sport Recife 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos), BTTS No went the other way.