Botafogo SP 2-0 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.5
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
0.93/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.13
-21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.9 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Coritiba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 0.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
428 Passes 245
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
02.11.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
30.07.2019 Coritiba Coritiba 3-2 HT 2-2 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
2-0
AWAY Coritiba
1.08 xG 0.77
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
163 Passes 389
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP saw off Coritiba 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Botafogo SP made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 34% of the ball to Coritiba's 66%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.08 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Coritiba led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botafogo SP and 2.00 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Coritiba?

Botafogo SP 2-0 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 39%, draw 32%, Coritiba 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo SP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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