Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Palmeiras v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras shaded a tight game against Gremio 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Palmeiras had 61% of the ball to Gremio's 39%, shots finished 33-6, expected goals 2.81 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Palmeiras and 0.83 for Gremio.
Palmeiras vs Gremio Result & Final Score
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 73%, draw 16%, Gremio 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.