Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Palmeiras
BR1
4-1
HT 1-1
Gremio
BR1
1-3
HT 1-2
Palmeiras
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Gremio
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BRK
Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras squeezed past Gremio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Palmeiras had 61% of the ball to Gremio's 39%, shots finished 33-6, expected goals 2.81 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Palmeiras and 0.83 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Gremio?
Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 62%, draw 19%, Gremio 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.