Vitoria 1-2 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 9 Nov 2024

Vitoria
1-2 HT 1-1
Corinthians
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Vitoria vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.85
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.65
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
12%
6.01
X/2
7%
4.96
X/X
15%
3.71
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.52
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitoria v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.43/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.00
+48% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.0 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2

Vitoria vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 0.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
290 Passes 461
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.07.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 3-2 HT 2-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
21.10.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
10.06.2018 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
11.05.2018 Corinthians Corinthians 3-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRK
26.04.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
19.08.2017 Corinthians Corinthians 0-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1

Vitoria 1-2 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
1-2
AWAY Corinthians
1.58 xG 0.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
14 Corners 4
236 Passes 390
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians nicked a narrow win over Vitoria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Corinthians found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitoria had 42% of the ball to Corinthians's 58%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.58 to 0.92 — on chances, Vitoria could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria and 1.33 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Corinthians?

Vitoria 1-2 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 38%, draw 30%, Corinthians 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vitoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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