Internacional 2-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
63%
-17.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.87/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
23.0 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fluminense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 0.56
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 483
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
09.11.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
05.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense LKU
28.09.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional LKU
09.07.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 2-0 HT 2-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
15.08.2022 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2-0
AWAY Fluminense
1.42 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
407 Passes 373
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional saw off Fluminense 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Internacional had 51% of the ball to Fluminense's 49%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Internacional and 1.17 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Fluminense?

Internacional 2-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Internacional 45%, draw 27%, Fluminense 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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