Botafogo 0-0 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 9 Nov 2024

Botafogo
0-0 HT 0-0
Cuiaba
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Botafogo vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
27.5
X/1
21%
3.22
X/2
5%
24.45
X/X
5%
7.21
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
5%
21.85
2/X
9%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-12.2pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.5pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.77/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.46
-1% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +22%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
478 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
28.3 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Botafogo vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cuiaba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
441 Passes 292
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.07.2024 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-2 HT 1-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
30.10.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
23.06.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
02.11.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 0-2 HT 0-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
11.07.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
04.11.2020 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BRK

Botafogo 0-0 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
0-0
AWAY Cuiaba
2.71 xG 0.18
74% Ball Possession 26%
28 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
582 Passes 146
90% Pass Accuracy 61%
43 Box Touches 3
50 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo and Cuiaba played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Botafogo at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo had 74% of the ball to Cuiaba's 26%, shots finished 28-4, expected goals 2.71 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cuiaba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Botafogo and 1.00 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Cuiaba?

Botafogo 0-0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 63%, draw 22%, Cuiaba 15%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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