Newtown 1-2 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 3 Apr 2026

Newtown
1-2 HT 0-0
Mold Alexandra
📅03/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Newtown vs Mold Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.5pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newtown v Mold Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 37%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
4.03/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.15
+134% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newtown vs Mold Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
08.11.2025 Mold Alexandra 1-3 HT 0-2 Newtown Newtown GALFAW
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra squeezed past Newtown 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Newtown at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Mold Alexandra?

Newtown 1-2 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newtown 43%, draw 23%, Mold Alexandra 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newtown) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newtown) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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