Denbigh Town 1-0 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 31%
+23% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.51/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.14
+31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
25.08.2025 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-1 HT 0-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
25.01.2025 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
26.08.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 4-2 HT 3-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town nicked a narrow win over Penrhyncoch 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Denbigh Town and 1.67 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?

Denbigh Town 1-0 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 53%, draw 25%, Penrhyncoch 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
3 Apr 2026
14:30 Newtown vs Mold Alexandra Analysis →
16:30 Holywell vs Airbus UK Analysis →
16:30 Llandudno FC vs Ruthin Town Analysis →
16:30 Flint Mountain vs Holyhead Hotspur FC Analysis →
16:30 Buckley Town vs Brickfield Rangers Analysis →
16:30 Y Rhyl 1879 vs Guilsfield Analysis →