Denbigh Town 3-0 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
32%
4.19
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.29
No
28%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.4pp
32%
Draw
20%
+11.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.3pp
72%
BTTS Yes
73%
-1.3pp
28%
BTTS No
27%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 29%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
4.02/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.79
+90% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
26.08.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 4-2 HT 3-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town swept aside Penrhyncoch 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (72%) missed.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?

Denbigh Town 3-0 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 44%, draw 32%, Penrhyncoch 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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