Prestatyn Town 1-0 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
58%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.7pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.3pp
58%
Away Win
68%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.4pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prestatyn Town EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 72%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
261 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 537 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prestatyn Town
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Caersws
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
02.11.2024 Caersws Caersws 8-0 HT 3-0 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town GALFAW
16.03.2024 Caersws Caersws 2-1 HT 0-1 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town GALFAW
18.08.2023 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
23.07.2022 Caersws Caersws 1-1 HT 0-0 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town GALLK
POST-MATCH Prestatyn Town vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prestatyn Town nicked a narrow win over Caersws 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Caersws at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Caersws led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Prestatyn Town and 2.75 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Prestatyn Town vs Caersws?

Prestatyn Town 1-0 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prestatyn Town vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Prestatyn Town 25%, draw 17%, Caersws 58%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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