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Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carmarthen Town v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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2-4
HT 0-3
Carmarthen Town
GALFAW
Carmarthen Town got the better of Caerau (Ely) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.67 for Caerau (Ely).
What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Carmarthen Town 2-0 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 32%, draw 19%, Caerau (Ely) 49%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5 went the other way.