Penrhyncoch 4-2 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Aug 2024

Penrhyncoch
4-2 HT 3-0
Denbigh Town
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.14
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.33
No
35%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
71%
-6.0pp
35%
BTTS No
29%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Penrhyncoch v Denbigh Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.49/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/1.01
+8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +38%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
211 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch beat Denbigh Town 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Denbigh Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Penrhyncoch 4-2 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 29%, draw 25%, Denbigh Town 46%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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