Afan Lido 4-1 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.0pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.37/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.67
+28% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
356 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Goytre United
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
23.02.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-2 HT 1-2 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
08.12.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 1-1 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
27.01.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 2-5 HT 2-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
22.10.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-0 HT 0-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
21.01.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 2-2 HT 0-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido swept aside Goytre United 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Afan Lido as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Afan Lido had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Afan Lido and 1.40 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Goytre United?

Afan Lido 4-1 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 42%, draw 27%, Goytre United 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afan Lido), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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