Afan Lido 1-2 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Feb 2024

Afan Lido
1-2 HT 1-2
Goytre United
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Afan Lido vs Goytre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.98
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.3pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.0pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Afan Lido v Goytre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.38/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.02
+14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
396 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Afan Lido vs Goytre United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Goytre United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 1-1 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
27.01.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 2-5 HT 2-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
22.10.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-0 HT 0-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
21.01.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 2-2 HT 0-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goytre United edged past Afan Lido 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Afan Lido carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Afan Lido had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Afan Lido and 1.25 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Goytre United?

Afan Lido 1-2 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 56%, draw 18%, Goytre United 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afan Lido) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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