Llanelli Town 3-2 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
4.0
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.3pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.68/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.19
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
25.02.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-3 HT 1-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
02.08.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
17.12.2021 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
30.10.2021 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-4 HT 1-2 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town nicked a narrow win over Cwmbran Celtic 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Llanelli Town and 1.25 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Llanelli Town 3-2 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 59%, draw 18%, Cwmbran Celtic 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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