Taffs Well 2-2 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Feb 2024

Taffs Well
2-2 HT 1-2
Llantwit Major
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.5
No
31%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
65%
+1.9pp
69%
BTTS Yes
62%
+6.8pp
31%
BTTS No
38%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Taffs Well v Llantwit Major — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 24%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.05/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/2.24
-10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Llantwit Major 1-3 HT 0-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
07.01.2023 Llantwit Major 2-2 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
28.10.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 0-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
02.10.2021 Llantwit Major 4-2 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
24.09.2021 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-1 HT 2-0 Llantwit Major GALWK
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taffs Well and Llantwit Major couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Taffs Well at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Taffs Well and 1.80 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major?

Taffs Well 2-2 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taffs Well win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 47%, draw 23%, Llantwit Major 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Taffs Well) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taffs Well) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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