Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1-2 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-15.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhiwceiber Rangers EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 70%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City edged past Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Newport City?

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1-2 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Penrhiwceiber Rangers 24%, draw 25%, Newport City 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newport City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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