Trefelin 2-0 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Aug 2024

Trefelin
2-0 HT 1-0
Baglan Dragons
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.3pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trefelin v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.58/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.51
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
466 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 1-1 HT 1-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
25.11.2023 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 4-1 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin got the better of Baglan Dragons 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Trefelin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baglan Dragons led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trefelin and 2.50 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons?

Trefelin 2-0 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 36%, draw 29%, Baglan Dragons 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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