Trefelin 1-1 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Feb 2024

Trefelin
1-1 HT 1-1
Baglan Dragons
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.6pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trefelin v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 42%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.29/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.35
-33% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards –

Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 4-1 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin and Baglan Dragons couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Baglan Dragons at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons?

Trefelin 1-1 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 32%, draw 23%, Baglan Dragons 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baglan Dragons), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
24 Feb 2024
15:00 Ammanford vs Briton Ferry Analysis →
16:00 Flint Town United vs Bangor 1876 Analysis →
17:00 Abertillery Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town Analysis →
17:00 Denbigh Town vs Guilsfield Analysis →
17:00 Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog Analysis →
17:00 Caersws vs Gresford Athletic Analysis →