Llanidloes Town 1-2 Porthmadog — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.35
No
34%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
70%
-3.6pp
34%
BTTS No
30%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanidloes Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Porthmadog EU Bookmakers 49%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+37% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanidloes Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Porthmadog
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
27.01.2024 Porthmadog Porthmadog 0-1 Llanidloes Town Llanidloes Town GALFAW
22.07.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 4-2 Llanidloes Town Llanidloes Town GALLK
15.04.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 3-0 HT 2-0 Llanidloes Town Llanidloes Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porthmadog squeezed past Llanidloes Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Porthmadog found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Porthmadog led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Llanidloes Town and 2.33 for Porthmadog.

What was the final score of Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog?

Llanidloes Town 1-2 Porthmadog in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanidloes Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Llanidloes Town 36%, draw 28%, Porthmadog 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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