Porthmadog 0-1 Llanidloes Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
29%
4.49
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.4pp
29%
Draw
19%
+10.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porthmadog EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanidloes Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.21
+81% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
470 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porthmadog
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Llanidloes Town
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.07.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 4-2 Llanidloes Town Llanidloes Town GALLK
15.04.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 3-0 HT 2-0 Llanidloes Town Llanidloes Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanidloes Town squeezed past Porthmadog 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Porthmadog at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Porthmadog had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Porthmadog and 1.00 for Llanidloes Town.

What was the final score of Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town?

Porthmadog 0-1 Llanidloes Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porthmadog win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Porthmadog 49%, draw 29%, Llanidloes Town 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Porthmadog) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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