Buckley Town 2-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.0pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.2pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.61/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+38% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +70%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Buckley Town vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buckley Town squeezed past Caersws 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Buckley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Buckley Town vs Caersws?

Buckley Town 2-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buckley Town vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Buckley Town 34%, draw 31%, Caersws 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caersws) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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