Carmarthen Town 1-0 Abertillery Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
17%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
77%
-4.7pp
14%
Draw
14%
-0.3pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.15/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/4.41
+9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -44%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Abertillery Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town squeezed past Abertillery Bluebirds 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Carmarthen Town 1-0 Abertillery Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 72%, draw 14%, Abertillery Bluebirds 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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