Baglan Dragons 2-1 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.96
+98% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Goytre United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
15.12.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 3-2 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons squeezed past Goytre United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baglan Dragons as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Goytre United?

Baglan Dragons 2-1 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 50%, draw 24%, Goytre United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baglan Dragons), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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