Caersws 1-1 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Feb 2024

Caersws
1-1
Gresford Athletic
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.3pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caersws v Gresford Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.32/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.17
-34% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws and Gresford Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

Caersws 1-1 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caersws 40%, draw 22%, Gresford Athletic 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caersws), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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