Denbigh Town 2-2 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.43
No
35%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-9.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
66%
-0.9pp
35%
BTTS No
34%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 34%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
3.70/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.30
+90% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town and Guilsfield couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Guilsfield?

Denbigh Town 2-2 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 35%, draw 25%, Guilsfield 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guilsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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