24/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Mold Alexandra vs Airbus UK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
14%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
18%
Draw
22%
50%
Away Win
53%
35%
Under 2.5
30%
65%
Over 2.5
70%
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
39%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mold Alexandra v Airbus UK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mold Alexandra
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Airbus UK
EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-4%
1.43/0.62
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.09/1.50
+1%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-2%
/
-20%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
380 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
393 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Mold Alexandra vs Airbus UK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mold Alexandra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Airbus UK
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
The Meetings
08.12.2023
Airbus UK
5-3
HT 1-2
Mold Alexandra
GALFAW
5-3
HT 1-2
Mold Alexandra
GALFAW
POST-MATCH
Mold Alexandra vs Airbus UK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Airbus UK swept aside Mold Alexandra 3-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Airbus UK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Airbus UK?
Mold Alexandra 0-3 Airbus UK in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Airbus UK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 32%, draw 18%, Airbus UK 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airbus UK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Airbus UK)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
24 Feb 2024