Abertillery Bluebirds 2-0 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+6.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 71%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.47/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.20
-59% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.01.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Abertillery Bluebirds Abertillery Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Abertillery Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abertillery Bluebirds got the better of Carmarthen Town 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Carmarthen Town at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Abertillery Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?

Abertillery Bluebirds 2-0 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abertillery Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Abertillery Bluebirds 21%, draw 24%, Carmarthen Town 55%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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